Autism's Rising Numbers: Investigating the Contributing Factors

February 13, 2025

Over the past few decades, autism spectrum disorder (ASD) diagnoses have increased significantly, leading many to ask: Why is there so much autism now? This question concerns parents, caregivers, educators, and healthcare professionals alike. Some worry that autism is becoming an epidemic, while others believe improved awareness and better diagnostic tools are at play.


To understand the rise in autism rates, we need to explore multiple factors, including changes in diagnostic criteria, increased awareness, genetic and environmental influences, and access to medical care. In this article, we’ll provide a comprehensive breakdown of why autism diagnoses have surged and what this means for individuals, families, and society.


Understanding Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD)

Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is a neurodevelopmental condition characterized by differences in communication, social interaction, and behavior. It is called a spectrum disorder because symptoms and their severity vary widely from person to person.


Common characteristics of autism include:


  • Challenges with verbal and nonverbal communication
  • Difficulty with social interactions
  • Repetitive behaviors or restricted interests
  • Sensory sensitivities


Autism is typically diagnosed in early childhood, though some individuals may receive a diagnosis later in life. The increase in autism diagnoses does not necessarily mean that more people have autism than before—it could indicate that more people are being identified due to evolving diagnostic criteria and greater awareness.


The Rising Autism Diagnosis Rates

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has tracked autism prevalence over time. According to their latest reports:


  • In the 1980s and 1990s, autism prevalence was estimated at about 1 in 2,500 children.
  • By 2000, the rate had increased to 1 in 150.
  • In 2020, autism prevalence was reported as 1 in 36 children.




Autism Prevalence Over Time

Autism Prevalence Over Time

Autism Prevalence (1 in X children) 1980s-1990s 2000 2020 2500 150 36

What This Means for Parents and Families

Understanding why autism diagnoses are increasing can help parents make informed decisions about their child’s healthcare and education. Early intervention is key to supporting children with autism and helping them thrive.


If you suspect your child may be on the autism spectrum, consider:


  • Discussing concerns with your pediatrician
  • Seeking an evaluation from a developmental specialist
  • Exploring therapy options like ABA therapy, speech therapy, and occupational therapy


Key Factors Contributing to the Increase in Autism Diagnoses

1. Broadened Diagnostic Criteria and Improved Screening

One of the most significant reasons for the increase in autism cases is the evolution of diagnostic criteria. Before the 1990s, autism was narrowly defined, and many individuals who would qualify for a diagnosis today would have been overlooked.


  • In 1994, the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-IV) expanded autism diagnostic criteria, incorporating Asperger’s syndrome and Pervasive Developmental Disorder-Not Otherwise Specified (PDD-NOS) under the umbrella of autism spectrum disorders.
  • In 2013, the DSM-5 further refined the definition by consolidating subtypes into a single ASD diagnosis.


These changes have led to more individuals meeting the criteria for an autism diagnosis, contributing to the overall rise in cases.


2. Greater Public Awareness and Advocacy

Autism advocacy has grown tremendously over the years, helping families and professionals recognize the signs of autism earlier. Organizations like Autism Speaks, the Autism Society, and other advocacy groups have played a significant role in educating the public.


  • More parents are informed about developmental milestones and know when to seek evaluations.
  • Pediatricians and educators receive better training on autism symptoms, leading to earlier and more accurate diagnoses.


3. Better Access to Diagnostic Services

Increased access to healthcare and early intervention services means more children can be evaluated for autism.


  • Schools now conduct early screenings and refer children for evaluations.
  • Pediatricians use developmental checklists during routine checkups.
  • Health insurance policies increasingly cover autism assessments and therapies, reducing financial barriers.


4. Environmental and Genetic Factors

While genetics play a significant role in autism, some researchers are exploring potential environmental factors that may contribute to rising autism rates.


  • Genetic predisposition: Studies suggest that autism has a strong genetic component, with many cases linked to inherited genetic variations.
  • Parental age: Older parents, particularly fathers over 40, have a slightly higher likelihood of having children with autism.
  • Prenatal and early-life exposures: Some research examines links between autism and factors like maternal infections, air pollution, and exposure to certain chemicals during pregnancy.


However, despite ongoing research, no single environmental factor has been definitively proven to cause autism.


5. Changes in Special Education Services

Educational policies have influenced autism diagnoses as well.


  • More schools provide Individualized Education Programs (IEPs) for students with autism, leading to more diagnoses to secure appropriate services.
  • In the past, children with autism may have been misdiagnosed with other conditions, such as intellectual disabilities or speech disorders.


Debunking the Myth of an 'Autism Epidemic'

Some believe that autism has increased due to external factors like vaccines or diet. However, extensive research has debunked these myths.


Vaccines and Autism 

Multiple large-scale studies have found no link between vaccines and autism. The misconception began with a now-retracted study from 1998 that was proven fraudulent.


Diet and Autism

While certain dietary changes may support some children with autism, there is no evidence that diet causes autism.


Autism is Not a Disease

Autism is a neurodevelopmental variation, not a new or emerging condition. Increased diagnoses do not indicate that autism itself is increasing—just that we are recognizing it more.


Conclusion

The increase in autism diagnoses means more families are seeking effective, evidence-based support. Inclusive ABA provides high-quality, individualized ABA therapy services tailored to meet each child’s needs. Our expert therapists use proven techniques to enhance communication, social skills, and independence.


If you’re looking for compassionate, expert-driven ABA therapy for your child, Inclusive ABA is here to help. Contact us today to learn more about our programs and how we can support your child’s development.


Frequently Asked Questions 

  • Is autism actually increasing, or are we just diagnosing it more?

    While autism diagnoses have risen, much of this increase is due to better awareness, improved diagnostic criteria, and greater access to services.


  • Can environmental factors cause autism?

    Autism has a strong genetic component, but some studies are exploring possible environmental influences. However, no single environmental factor has been proven to cause autism.


  • At what age can autism be diagnosed?

    Autism can often be diagnosed as early as 18 months, but many children receive a diagnosis between 2 and 4 years old. Early diagnosis allows for earlier intervention, which can significantly improve outcomes.


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